|NEWS YOU CAN USE:
Commentary: Is the Sun Rising?
Solar Wind bombardment “worse than we thought”, but we know particles at 800km/s have No effect on our climate
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, June 14, 2018
Link to paper: Solar wind sputtering of wollastonite as a lunar analogue material – Comparisons between experiments and simulations
By Paul S. Szabo, et al. Icarus, Nov 1, 2018
Link to NASA web site: Solar Wind Strips the Martian Atmosphere
Visualizations by Greg Shirah, NASA, Nov 5, 2015
The approaching solar cycle 24 minimum continues the long slide in solar activity
Guest essay by Javier, WUWT, June 7, 2018
Why the Sun Controls the Climate and CO2 is Meaningless
By Staff Writer, CO2 is Life, June 9, 2018 [H/t Paul Homewood]
Peter Ridd’s sacking pushes the limit of academic freedom
James Cook University (JCU) may have damaged its reputation with a heavy-handed approach to the academic with minority views on climate change and the reef
By Gay Alcorn, Guardian, June 4, 2018
JCU staff too scared to use their uni email – this is what “academic freedom” looks like
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, June 15, 2018
Challenging the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, 2013
Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, 2014
Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, NIPCC, Nov 23, 2015
Download with no charge
Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
Heartland Institute Provides Science to EPA to Back Up Pruitt’s Climate Change Views
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, June 7, 2018
Challenging the Orthodoxy
An Open Letter To The Geological Society
By Howard Dewhirst FGS et al, GWPF, June 6, 2018
More Evidence Water Vapor Is The Big Climate Kahuna
Guest Post by Joe Bastardi, Climate Change Dispatch, June 14, 2018 [H/t Paul Homewood]
Does Global Warming increase total atmospheric water vapor (TPW)?
By Andy May, WUWT, June 9, 2018
A “Significant” Goof in Nature Climate Change?
By Patrick J. Michaels and Ryan Maue, CATO, June 14, 2018
Link to paper: Higher CO2 concentrations increase extreme event risk in a 1.5 °C world
By Hugh S. Baker, Richard J. Millar, David J. Karoly, Urs Beyerle, Benoit P. Guillod, Dann Mitchell, Hideo Shiogama, Sarah Sparrow, Tim Woollings & Myles R. Allen, Nature,Climate Change, June11, 2018
Defending the Orthodoxy
Harvard scientists: Trump environmental policies could result in 80,000 more deaths per decade
By Avery Anapol, The Hill, June 16, 2018
Link to commentary: A Breath of Bad Air: Cost of the Trump Environmental Agenda May Lead to 80 000 Extra Deaths per Decade
By David Cutler and Francesca Dominici, The JAMA Forum, June 12, 2018
[SEPP Comment: The authors declare that the roll-back of some rules is an attack on science, but do not produce scientific evidence supporting the rules.]
No Cabinet paper written, no Cabinet decision made, in ‘political decision’ to ban new oil exploration
By Hamish Rutherford, Stuff, NZ, June 5, 2018
[SEPP Comment: Authoritarian government in full display.]
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Ocean indicators suggest CO2 isn’t the strongest driver of climate
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, June 6, 2018
Despite Climate Claims, These Birds Are Not Declining
Guest Essay by Kip Hansen, WUWT, June 7, 2018
Svalbard polar bear data 2016 through 2018 shows no impact of low ice years
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, June 15, 2018
Coal Use To Explode By 43% Worldwide! …German Energy Expert: “Foundation Of The Paris Accord Has Collapsed”
By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, June 12, 2018
Change in US Administrations
Attacks on Scott Pruitt are Sure Sign He Is Over the Target
By Tim Ball, A Different Perspective, June 15, 2018
[SEPP Comment: Exception to the comments by Tim Ball regarding Myron Ebell, head of the Trump transition team for EPA. Both the Clinton campaign and the Trump campaign had transition teams well before the election. The Clinton team was several times larger than the Trump team. Ebell’s EPA team wrote an excellent review of the strengths and weaknesses in the EPA and its endangerment finding.]
So Which Is It: High Energy Prices Or Low?
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, June 11, 2018
What Will Be the Outcome of the Great Climate Scam?
By Alan Carlin, Carlin Economics and Science, June 15, 2018
Swift (and Angry) Reaction to Trump Move to Save Coal, Nuclear Plants
By Staff Writers, Power, Mag, June 1, 2018
Social Benefits of Carbon
GAO to look into Trump’s reduction of carbon social costs
By Miranda Green, The Hill, June 13, 2018
[SEPP Comment: Will the GAO examine the benefits of increased carbon dioxide?]
Problems in the Orthodoxy
Grenfell and the Problem of Carbon Targets
By James Heartfield, Spiked, June 14, 2018 [H/t GWPF]
Seeking a Common Ground
The debate: my presentation
By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. June 12, 2018
[SEPP Comment: Curry’s presentation during the “State of the climate debate” in which she articulated major disagreements.]
Climate Change: A Plea For Legislation, Not Litigation
By Richard Weekley, IBD, June 11, 2018
Review of Recent Scientific Articles by CO2 Science
Thermal Behavioral Resilience of a Threatened Desert Lizard
Moore, D., Stow, A. and Kearney, M.R. 2018. Under the weather? — The direct effects of climate warming on a threatened desert lizard are mediated by their activity phase and burrow system. Journal of Animal Ecology 87: 660-671. June 17, 2018
The Transgenerational Plasticity of the Purple Sea Urchin
Wong, J.M., Johnson, K.M., Kelly, M.W. and Hofmann, G.E. 2018. Transcriptomics reveal transgenerational effects in purple sea urchin embryos: Adult acclimation to upwelling conditions alters the response of their progeny to differential pCO2 levels. Molecular Ecology 27: 1120-1137, June 16, 2018
“Transgenerational plasticity (TP) is an adaptive mechanism by which parents can influence the phenotype of their offspring to be better suited to cope with abiotic stresses and/or changes in their environment. TP is postulated as a means by which marine organisms can successfully respond to future predictions of ocean acidification, reducing concerns of species’ collapse-and possible extinction-as a result of projected declines in seawater pH levels. Nevertheless, TP research is limited, and more studies into this topic should help scientists better understand its potential as an adaptive mechanism to environmental stress.”
Elevated CO2 Helps Mitigate the Negative Growth Effects of Soil Arsenic Contamination
Fernandez, V., Barnaby, J.Y., Tomecek, M., Codling, E.E. and Ziska, L.H. 2018. Elevated CO2 may reduce arsenic accumulation in diverse ecotypes of Arabidopsis thaliana. Journal of Plant Nutrition 41: 645-653.June 14, 2018
A 145-year Continent-wide Increase in Mountain-top Species Richness
Steinbauer, M.J., et al. Accelerated increase in plant species richness on mountain summits is linked to warming. Nature 556: 231-234. June 11, 2018
“The end result of these facts is that if the atmosphere’s temperature and CO2 concentration rise together, plants are able to successfully adapt to the rising temperature, and they experience no ill effects of the warming. Under such conditions, plants living near the heat-limited boundaries of their ranges do not experience an impetus to migrate poleward or upward towards cooler regions of the globe.”
The Combined Impact of Ocean Warming, Acidification and Eutrophication on a Green Seaweed
Gao, G., Clare, A.S., Chatzidimitriou, E., Rose, C. and Caldwell, G. 2018. Effects of ocean warming and acidification, combined with nutrient enrichment, on chemical composition and functional properties of Ulva rigida. Food Chemistry 258: 71-78. June 10, 2018
Models v. Observations
New Study: The Sun and volcanoes Caused the Pause
By David Whitehouse, GWPF, June 12, 2018
Link to paper: Causes of irregularities in trends of global mean surface temperature since the late 19th century
By Chris K. Folland, Olivier Boucher, Andrew Colma,1 and David E. Parker, Science Advances, June 6, 2018
[SEPP Comment: Comparing 40 CMIP5 models using surface data since 1891, which is spotty. Wallace, et al. used econometric techniques on comprehensive atmospheric data to explain all temperature increase since 1978.]
New Met Office study suggests natural factors, including the sun, are the biggest reason behind “the pause”
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, June 7, 2018
100-Year Russian Arctic Temperature Reconstruction Shows 1930s Just As Warm As Today!
Russian Arctic in 1920-1940 was warmer than today
By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P. Gosselin), No Tricks Zone, June 9, 2018
Global Cooling Led To More Extremes Of Rainfall
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know Than, June 10, 2018
[SEPP Comment: From the pioneering work of H.H. Lamb]
Swedish Researchers Confirm 20th Century Warming “Does Not Stand Out” Over Past 2500 Years! [Off the Coast of Western Sweden]
By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, June 13, 2018
Link to paper: Tracing winter temperatures over the last two millennia using a NE
Atlantic coastal record
By Irina Polovodova Asteman, Helena L. Filipsson, & Kjell Nordberg, Climate of the Past, Jan 9, 2018
Disappeared: Tide gauges showing negative absolute sea level rise removed from data base
Guest essay by Albert Parker, WUWT, June 7, 2018
Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Antarctica’s Ice May Be More Durable Than We Thought
A study found that the East Antarctic Ice Sheet has survived higher temperatures than we’ve created.
By Avery Thompson, Popular Mechanics, June 13, 2018 [H/t GWPF]
Link to paper: Minimal East Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat onto land during the past eight million years
By Jeremy D. Shakun, et al. Nature, June 13, 2018
Ice Loss? Maybe
By David Whitehouse, GWPF, June 15, 2018
Link to paper: Mass balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2017
The IMBIE team, Nature, June 13, 2018
“Antarctica loses three trillion tonnes of ice in 25 years”–BBC
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know Than, June 14, 2018
“Despite the apocalyptic headline, ice loss has only been contributing about 0.3mm a year to sea level rise, about an inch per century. Given that sea levels have been rising at around 8 inches a century since the 19th C, there is no evidence that this is not a long-term phenomenon we are seeing.”
[SEPP Comment: Error range of +/- 50%]
Antarctic Ice Loss Tripled, from near zero to an extremely tiny number! (Nobody mention those volcanoes)
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, June 15, 2018
Environment Canada maps of polar bear population and status assessments 2018
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, June 11, 2018
Fuego volcano injected large amounts of sulfur dioxide into stratosphere, may induce some short-term global cooling
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, June 9, 2018
BBC Blame Climate Change For Mammal Extinctions–Official Report Says Otherwise
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know Than, June 14, 2018
Communicating Better to the Public – Go Personal.
“An Ingenious Feat of Investigative Reporting” … that was not.
By Russell Cook, Gelbspan Files.com, June 7, 2018
Expanding the Orthodoxy
Pope warns energy bosses of global destruction without fuel shift
By Philip Pullella, Reuters, June 9, 2018
Climate change campaigners find ally Orthodox Church leader
By Staff Writer, The Courier, Ohio, June 6, 2018 [H/t Dennis Ambler]
“’Faith can help us because we scientists have tried everything. We can’t say what’s happening in a more compelling way when we warn about the end of civilization,’ said Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, an adviser to the German government on climate issues and founding director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.”
Questioning European Green
Compendium of Germany’s Energiewende
By Staff Writers, Vernunftkraft, Vie GWPF, June 6, 2018
Link to report: COMPENDIUM for a sensible energy policy
Germany pours cold water on EU’s clean energy ambitions
By Frédéric Simon, Euractiv, June 11, 2018 [H/t GWPF]
Green Nightmare: Germany’s Clean Energy Flops While Global Fossil Fuels Boom…
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know Than, June 14, 2018
Why Britain can never rely on wind power
By Andrew Montford, Spectator, UK, Via GWPF, June 11, 2018
Voices of reason in the ‘climate wars’
By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. June 10, 2018
[SEPP Comment: Curry’s presentation of the Mat Nisbet paper which analyzed: “$556.7 million in ‘behind-the-scenes’ grants distributed by 19 major environmental foundations from 2011-2015 in the immediate aftermath of the failure to pass cap-and-trade legislation in 2010.
“Nisbet found that more than 80 percent of those funds were devoted to promoting renewable energy, communicating about and limiting climate change and opposing fossil fuels, while only two percent, or $10.5 million, was invested in technologies that would lower carbon emissions like carbon capture storage or nuclear energy. The donations themselves were also very concentrated; more than half of the money disbursed by the philanthropies was directed to 20 organizations in total.”]
The Political Games Continue
US House Votes Down Social Cost of Carbon
By Ron Clutz, Science Matters, June 10, 2018
Federal Judge Stumps Trial Lawyers Handling NYC’s Climate Lawsuit with One Question
By Michael Bastasch, Daily Caller, June 13, 2018
“A federal judge posed a question to lawyers representing New York City in its global warming lawsuit against five major oil companies — does the city invest in fossil fuels?”
Cap-and-Trade and Carbon Taxes
No Scientific Basis for Canadian Carbon (CO2) Tax plan
By Tim Ball, A Different Perspective, June 15, 2018
[Massachusetts] Senate passes bill to promote a clean energy future
By Staff Writers, Wareham Wicked, June 15, 2018
“Most importantly, the policies enacted in this legislation will have measurable benefits in the health of the global environment.”
Subsidies and Mandates Forever
Subsidy-free renewables need policy changes, report claims
By Craig Richard, Wind Power, June 14, 2018
Link to report: Can German renewables become competitive within 5 years?
By Staff Writers, Aurora Energy Research, June 2018
[SEPP Comment: For wind power to be competitive in a free enterprise market, we must design that market to meet the needs of wind power?]
Energy Issues – Non-US
BP Energy Review
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know Than, June 15, 2018
Link to report: Statistical Review of World Energy, 2018
Global primary energy consumption grew strongly in 2017, led by natural gas and renewables, with coal’s share of the energy mix continuing to decline
By Staff Writers, BP, 2018
Carbon Bubble or Green Babble
By Staff Writers, GWPF, June 11, 2018
Link to report: Carbon Bubble or Green Babble? Models Of Stranded Fossil Fuel Assets Cannot Be Trusted
By John Constable and Gordon Hughes, Global Warming Policy Foundation, 2018
A critique of: 1. Mercure JF, Pollitt H, Viñuales JE, et al., Macroeconomic impact of stranded fossil fuel assets, Nature
Climate Change (2018). doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0182-1 See: https://www.nature.com/articles/s…
Energy Issues — US
Brief Amicus Curiae of Electrical Engineers, Energy Economists and Physicists in Support of Respondents in No. 00-568
Charles J. Cooper, Counsel of Record, Supreme Court, Stat of New York, et al v. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, et al. May 31, 2001
AC and DC Transmission Lines
By Donn Dears, Power For USA, June 12, 2018
DC Transmission for Cutting CO2 Emissions
By Donn Dears, Power For USA, June 15, 2018
Washington’s Control of Energy
GOP offshore drilling proposal triggers debate
By Miranda Green, The Hill, June 14, 2018
[SEPP Comment: Federal government sharing oil royalties with states is upsetting?]
Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?
China and India Want to Buy More U.S. Oil to Counter OPEC
By Debjit Chakraborty, Bloomberg, June 14, 2018
Return of King Coal?
Stranded Assets Booming: coal Prices Double as Demand Rises
By Staff Writers, Financial Times, Via GWPF, June 13, 2018
Nuclear Energy and Fears
NuScale says its SMR promises cost savings
By Staff Writers, World Nuclear News, June 6, 2018 [H/t Toshio Fujita]
Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind
How much of the world’s energy is supplied by renewables?
By Roger Andrews, Energy Matters, June 14, 2018
The Aberdeen Bay Offshore Wind Farm
By Euan Mearns, Energy Matters, June 11, 2018
Remember when the massive California wildfires of 2017 were blamed on global warming? Never mind.
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, June 10, 2018
Link to Press Release: CAL FIRE Investigators Determine Causes of 12 Wildfires in Mendocino, Humboldt, Butte, Sonoma, Lake, and Napa Counties
By Staff Writers, California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection, June 8, 2018
[SEPP Comment: Meteorologist Cliff Mass had it right, the fires were caused by localized, intense winds blowing down power lines.]
Other News that May Be of Interest
Mystery “Missile Launch” Explained
By Cliff Mass, Weather and Climate Blog, June 13, 2018
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:
Pick a number between 1 and …
By Staff Writers, Climate Change Predictions.org, June 14, 2018
“A secret draft version of the next report by the United Nation’s influential panel of climate experts, to be given to governments in April, will say a reliable upper limit can no longer be put on how quickly the world will warm.
“Professor Ian Lowe, an environmental scientist and president of the Australian Conservation Foundation, said he hoped the report would convince the Australian Government of the seriousness of the issue because it was still listening to the “10 or 12 sceptics of the world.”
“In the worst case scenario, the world could warm up to 11 degrees in response to a doubling of carbon dioxide, a 2005 study that harnessed the power of 90,000 computers worldwide found. This is much greater than previous predictions of between 1.5 to 4.5 degrees.”
Sydney Morning Herald 1 Mar 2006 – screen copy held by this website
Big picture, small picture
By Staff Writers, Climate Change Predictions.org, June 12, 2018
“In a speech to the Council on Foreign Relations, Environmental Protection Administrator Gina McCarthy said climate change, if unconfronted, will bring about droughts, food shortages, economic disruption and other consequences.
“She also warned that the changing climate could make the morning caffeine rush a thing of the past.
“’Climate change puts the world’s coffee-growing regions at risk,’ Ms. McCarthy said, adding that governments must consider climate change when making virtually every policy position, even those that on the surface seem to have nothing to do with the environment.”
Washington Times, 11 Mar 2015
Brother, you are not of the faith!
By Staff Writers, Climate Change Predictions.org, June 10, 2018
“Martin Dix, senior research scientist at CSIRO Atmospheric Research in Aspendale, says measuring today’s greenhouse gas levels is one thing, but predicting future levels is an altogether different matter.
“No scientific data, no matter how comprehensive, is ever going to produce anything like a definitive projection of how much greenhouse gases will continue to build in the atmosphere, nor of how the earth’s climate will behave as they do. Humankind is unpredictable and nature is chaotic.”
Sydney Morning Herald, 21 Jun 2005
1. Upgrade America’s 19th-Century Electric Grid
The U.S. relies on regional networks vulnerable to terrorism and blackouts.
By Charles Bayless and Thomas Petri, WSJ, June 4, 2018[ H/t William Readdy]
Link to paper: Future cost-competitive electricity systems and their impact on US CO2 emissions
By Alexander E. MacDonald, et al, Nature, Jan 25, 2018\
SUMMARY; The essay from two board members of the Climate Institute begins:
“The U.S. electrical system is inefficient and vulnerable to natural and man-made threats—from severe weather and solar storms to cyber and electromagnetic attacks. To stay competitive in the 21st century, the U.S. should upgrade its system before it’s too late.
“What is commonly known as ‘the grid’—consisting mostly of aboveground transmission wires—is actually a patchwork of three regional networks that share few interconnections. Periods of high demand, such as a prolonged heat wave, can trigger regional imbalances in electricity supply and demand, leaving consumers to contend with price spikes and blackouts or brownouts. Insufficient transmission capacity also means that during periods of low local demand, surplus electricity is wasted rather than sold to other regions.
“The U.S. grid relies on alternating-current technology, a legacy of its 19th-century creation. But a direct-current system would be far superior. Thanks to technological breakthroughs, direct-current technology can now transmit electricity over longer distances with less power loss than existing alternating-current networks.
“The Climate Institute has proposed constructing a new overlay network that balances the generation and consumption of electrical power. The North American Supergrid is a concept for a multinodal, high-voltage direct-current transmission network that would extend across the lower 48 states, eventually linking with Canada and Mexico. The new grid would work as a resilient backbone to the existing electrical grid. Built largely underground alongside highways or railway rights of way, it would also be less vulnerable to attack.
After additional details the essay continues:
“…A 2016 study from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Earth System Research Laboratory estimated that a similar supergrid could achieve roughly an 80% reduction in power-sector carbon emissions, relative to 1990 levels.
Upfront private investment could reduce costs for consumers and taxpayers. The projected cost of as much $500 billion over 30 years to construct the North American Supergrid would be outweighed by eventual savings to U.S. electricity consumers, according to the NOAA study.”
The essay concludes with arguments invoking the interstate highway system.
2. Government Is Bad at Picking Energy Winners
Government intervention in the energy markets, as contemplated, will lead to an energy grid that is less reliable and resilient than the one we have today.
Letters, WSJ, June 13, 2018
“Your editorial ‘Rick Perry’s Obama Imitation’ (June 6) is largely on point. However, it is important for the public to understand the ultimate consequence of policies like those proposed by Energy Secretary Rick Perry. Government intervention in the energy markets, as contemplated, will lead to an energy grid that is less reliable and resilient than the one we have today. Subsidizing only certain plants leads to a greater supply of power generation than would otherwise be available based on undistorted market prices. While the existence of the subsidies creates greater overall costs for consumers, this generation oversupply will result in lower revenues for the plants that don’t enjoy a subsidy. Lower revenues mean less capital available for investment and maintenance. Investment in new plants and technology will be hampered and the existing stock of plants will become less reliable and suffer increased outage rates, ultimately leading to an outdated grid that is significantly less secure than it should be.
“Even those plants that receive subsidies are unlikely to make material investment in support of reliability. The very mandate that keeps them operational is the result of administrative fiat. Those supports can be withdrawn just as easily as they were implemented. Many voices are coming out in opposition to Secretary Perry’s initiative. However, this is simply the latest and broadest effort to use out-of-market subsidies to support a particular form of energy production. If they continue, these efforts—whether intended to favor renewables or bail out uneconomic coal and nuclear power plants—will ultimately lead to the demise of competitive markets. Politicians and regulators should be looking for market-based solutions.”
CEO, LS Power
“Natural-gas dependence on pipeline transportation adds a huge layer of vulnerability to both cyber and physical attack. This exposure is minimized where generation facilities are able to maintain fuel stockpiles on-site, as with coal and nuclear.
“During the 2014 polar vortex, coal provided effectively 100% of the incremental response to the increased electric demand. Even after all of the coal unit retirements since 2014, coal was still able to provide 55% of the incremental generation in the bomb cyclone early this year.
“You applaud FERC’s investigation of compensation for “fast-start resources,” but it’s another attempt to accommodate the renewable-energy and natural-gas duopoly.
“In fact, the overarching task of grid managers today is accommodating the distortions caused by the investment tax credit for solar and the production tax credit for wind renewable energy. Due to billions in taxpayer subsidies, these resources have driven wholesale market prices below the variable cost of coal and nuclear generation, but consumers don’t see lower bills because they’re paying for the cost of new transmission at an annual clip of $20 billion to move renewable energy to population centers.
“Despite the phaseout in the 2015 omnibus bill, wind developers can still quality for 10 years of subsidies with startup by the end of 2023. Correcting these problems requires much more than chipping away at renewable subsidies.”